PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xde61af3d6ee1f745221d5f374538a41852c4b139

Realised P&L
$-10.92
Volume
$141.57
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$3.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 23:52Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-13 15:52Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
09-13 05:56Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-12 14:48Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-12 03:17Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-09 03:18Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.2799999664$2.00
09-09 01:51Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$2.00
09-08 17:49Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.68$2.00
09-08 09:37Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?BUY0.6899999345$2.00
09-08 00:38Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.4899999584$2.00
09-07 16:10Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.2699998217$1.09
09-07 07:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5199999896$2.00
09-02 06:41Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
09-01 17:42Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?BUY0.75$2.00
09-01 17:15Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?BUY0.2599999272$2.00