PolyBot

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Traders

0xDe5e5897aE24035bA98a8DEF4D5028923f383A94-1757450279053

0xde5e5897ae24035ba98a8def4d5028923f383a94

Realised P&L
$4.5k
Volume
$174.2k
Markets traded
150
Open portfolio
$11.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded150
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5810.895$7.1k+$2.5k
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5120.125$1.8k−$5.5k
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5070.175$1.7k−$3.2k
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4410.085$1.3k−$5.4k
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025) · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$47.84
Will "A Man on the Inside: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 25 2025) · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$6.60
Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026) · Yes0.5060.000$0.00−$706.10
Will “Nobody Wants This: Season 2” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025) · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$138.06
Will "Wake Up Dead Man" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 23, 2025) · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$0.30
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025) · No0.0900.000$0.00−$0.47
Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3) · No0.8830.000$0.00−$264.99
Will "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026) · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$8.13
Will "Kidnapped: Elizabeth Smart" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026) · No0.9500.000$0.00−$153.90
Will "M3GAN 2.0" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3) · Yes0.8670.000$0.00−$700.40
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025) · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$19.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 15:54Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.51$229.39
08-20 15:53Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5066304348$4.7k
07-23 12:27Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.29$642.09
07-23 12:26Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.29$304.50
07-23 12:21Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.44$4.8k
07-09 20:17Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4899999999$1.7k
07-09 12:51Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4815063719$1000.00
07-09 12:51Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.48$2.0k
07-09 12:50Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4799999998$1000.00
03-31 07:12Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.72$5.04
03-31 07:12Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7188388889$64.70
03-31 07:11Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7136588889$2.6k
03-31 07:09Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.69$291.87
03-31 07:08Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7503262258$2.3k
03-31 07:05Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.82$656.00