PolyBot

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Traders

0xDe5e5897aE24035bA98a8DEF4D5028923f383A94-1757450279053

0xde5e5897ae24035ba98a8def4d5028923f383a94

Realised P&L
$-5.6k
Volume
$174.3k
Markets traded
150
Open portfolio
$13.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded150
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5810.815$6.4k+$1.8k
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5120.175$2.5k$4.8k
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5070.255$2.5k$2.4k
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4410.125$1.9k$4.8k
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025) · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$47.84
Will "A Man on the Inside: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 25 2025) · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$6.60
Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026) · Yes0.5060.000$0.00$706.10
Will “Nobody Wants This: Season 2” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025) · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$138.18
Will "Wake Up Dead Man" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 23, 2025) · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$0.30
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025) · No0.0900.000$0.00$0.47
Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3) · No0.8830.000$0.00$264.99
Will "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026) · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$8.13
Will "Kidnapped: Elizabeth Smart" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026) · No0.9500.000$0.00$153.90
Will "M3GAN 2.0" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3) · Yes0.8670.000$0.00$700.40
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025) · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$19.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 15:54Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.51$229.39
08-20 15:53Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5066304348$4.7k
07-23 12:27Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.29$642.09
07-23 12:26Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.29$304.50
07-23 12:21Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.44$4.8k
07-09 20:17Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4899999999$1.7k
07-09 12:51Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4815063719$1000.00
07-09 12:51Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.48$2.0k
07-09 12:50Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4799999998$1000.00
03-31 07:12Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.72$5.04
03-31 07:12Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7188388889$64.70
03-31 07:11Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7136588889$2.6k
03-31 07:09Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.69$291.87
03-31 07:08Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7503262258$2.3k
03-31 07:05Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.82$656.00