PolyBot

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Traders

krill810

0xde5a8b92f34439ac875ed1e9081a46f5e8a22251

Realised P&L
$-20.8k
Volume
$644.7k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$372.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.2000.135$155.25−$74.75
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0290.009$152.00−$310.33
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.0900.065$65.00−$25.00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$134.87
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.5870.000$0.00−$2.7k
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4680.000$0.00−$1.9k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 19:17Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)SELL0.13$57.17
10-11 14:15US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?SELL0.0321000005$64.20
10-11 10:21US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?SELL0.04$80.00
10-10 13:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.06$120.00
10-10 10:41US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.06$120.00
10-09 16:50US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?SELL0.023$11.95
10-09 16:50US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?SELL0.023$5.65
10-09 13:37US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?SELL0.025$12.58
10-09 13:25US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?SELL0.025$71.74
10-09 13:24US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?SELL0.026$2.94
10-08 12:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?SELL0.11$550.00
10-07 22:11US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?SELL0.026$11.26
10-07 17:43US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?SELL0.025$12.50
10-07 17:42US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?SELL0.027$38.93
10-06 22:46US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?BUY0.023$17.25