PolyBot

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Traders

faceverification

0xde5868f5b8b7d9cb6c5f91fb92c3c736738af55c

Realised P&L
$27.3k
Volume
$1.11M
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$65.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8920.905$15.1k+$217.81
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9400.945$14.7k+$77.78
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9300.935$10.4k+$56.62
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7500.725$8.1k−$277.77
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5520.580$7.1k+$345.26
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.6260.605$5.0k−$174.28
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.8270.841$4.7k+$78.56
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2050.000$0.00−$1.3k
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2950.000$0.00−$336.42
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? · Yes0.8510.000$0.00−$8.6k
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? · No0.5400.000$0.00−$3.0k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8570.000$0.00−$428.43
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2360.000$0.00−$2.0k
Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs0.6550.000$0.00−$5.1k
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$455.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:21Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.93$3.7k
11-01 17:18Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.75$8.3k
11-01 04:35Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.64$320.00
11-01 04:35Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.6358886793$2.9k
11-01 04:26Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.91$5.1k
10-31 12:29Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.61$752.70
10-31 12:25Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9$615.08
10-30 15:122026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.94$14.6k
10-30 09:48Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8758510905$4.6k
10-30 09:38Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.8268572457$4.6k
10-25 22:07Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.561$246.84
10-25 21:18Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.655633172$116.53
10-25 21:18Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.66$15.40
10-25 21:17Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.663$120.98
10-25 21:17Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.663$4.99