faceverification
0xde5868f5b8b7d9cb6c5f91fb92c3c736738af55c
- Realised P&L
- $27.3k
- Volume
- $1.11M
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $65.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.7kat 0.800Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$16.6kat 0.856Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$3.4kat 0.225Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$3.4kat 0.390Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$2.5kat 0.500Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:21 | Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $3.7k |
| 11-01 17:18 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $8.3k |
| 11-01 04:35 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $320.00 |
| 11-01 04:35 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6358886793 | $2.9k |
| 11-01 04:26 | Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.1k |
| 10-31 12:29 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.61 | $752.70 |
| 10-31 12:25 | Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $615.08 |
| 10-30 15:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.94 | $14.6k |
| 10-30 09:48 | Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8758510905 | $4.6k |
| 10-30 09:38 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8268572457 | $4.6k |
| 10-25 22:07 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.561 | $246.84 |
| 10-25 21:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.655633172 | $116.53 |
| 10-25 21:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.66 | $15.40 |
| 10-25 21:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.663 | $120.98 |
| 10-25 21:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.663 | $4.99 |