arrkisd
0xde55a1a25b33df4a0321dae23b137f18930b1d2a
- Realised P&L
- $-219.69
- Volume
- $27.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,051
- Open portfolio
- $33.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,051
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Stray Team vs NS Team - Game 1 Winner · NS Team | 0.600 | 1.000 | $8.33 | +$3.33 |
| Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner · Team Synapse | 0.600 | 0.899 | $7.49 | +$2.49 |
| W50 Yecla: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Tian Jialin · Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 0.860 | 1.000 | $5.81 | +$0.81 |
| W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Camilla Zanolini vs Yuliya Hatouka · Yuliya Hatouka | 0.860 | 1.000 | $5.81 | +$0.81 |
| Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Dawn Bulls - Game 1 Winner · Dawn Bulls | 0.600 | 0.505 | $4.21 | −$0.79 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.450 | 0.655 | $1.46 | +$0.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.59at 0.701Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner
- +$24.50at 0.710Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Infinite - Map 1 Winner
- +$24.50at 0.710Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak - Map 1 Winner
- +$22.73at 0.691Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$22.19at 0.730Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Grêmio Esports - Map 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 13:24 | W50 Yecla: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Tian Jialin | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 12:57 | W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Camilla Zanolini vs Yuliya Hatouka | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 11:45 | W50 Plovdiv: Ilinca Dalina Amariei vs Selena Janicijevic | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 11:25 | W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Briana Szabo vs Romane Longueville | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 09:42 | W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Sarafina Olivia Hansen vs Elena Jamshidi | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 08:24 | W15 Constanta: Melinda Biro vs Anastasia Safta | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 07:31 | W50 Plovdiv: Gaia Maduzzi vs Raluca Georgiana Serban | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 04:23 | W50 Nanao: Eri Shimizu vs Chia Yi Tsao | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 00:49 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 23:47 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.709999992 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 21:32 | San Diego 2: Jack Kennedy vs Liam Draxl | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 18:21 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Kalmychata - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 18:05 | W50 Berkeley, CA: Connie Ma vs Duru Soke | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 18:01 | W50 Berkeley, CA: Olivia Lincer vs Maria Sholokhova | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 15:58 | Dota 2: Travoman Team vs NS Team - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6 | $1.19 |