Qsanmedso
0xde54e7f6db7dfb6835f8a4f27b02b0dcd55577f9
- Realised P&L
- $-6.38
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $7.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.994 | 0.992 | $7.33 | −$0.02 |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons · Cavaliers | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.52at 0.840Pacers vs. Pistons
- +$0.06at 0.988Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?
- +$0.03at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 15?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.991Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 06:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9939998921 | $7.35 |
| 07-13 02:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.9989999454 | $7.58 |
| 06-15 08:52 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.48 |
| 06-15 08:44 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $12.38 |
| 05-26 02:37 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $12.40 |
| 04-23 02:08 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.83 |
| 04-14 07:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 15? | BUY | 0.996 | $8.16 |
| 03-14 05:28 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $14.14 |
| 03-03 01:59 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9909999999 | $14.13 |
| 02-27 08:50 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 01-19 05:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January? | SELL | 0.989 | $63.06 |
| 01-17 08:11 | Pacers vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.8399999988 | $29.00 |
| 01-17 08:00 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $356.46 |
| 01-17 05:40 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $356.82 |
| 01-17 05:31 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $346.47 |