vasilii52
0xde52a12ae1789d0d3594e3ac0afde22eb4f0d15b
- Realised P&L
- $-100.67
- Volume
- $24.3k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $183.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.375 | $183.24 | −$237.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.71at 0.843Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$47.26at 0.899Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
- +$32.00at 0.908Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale?
- +$26.00at 0.938Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
- +$11.79at 0.910Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-23 11:05 | Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.86 | $420.24 |
| 02-03 08:51 | Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8432650598 | $466.53 |
| 01-12 07:23 | Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31? | BUY | 0.8987022426 | $419.27 |
| 12-03 12:50 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9379999999 | $393.28 |
| 12-03 12:49 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7603866901 | $393.28 |
| 12-03 12:45 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7799999998 | $403.43 |
| 11-18 07:41 | Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize? | SELL | 0.9503309665 | $190.06 |
| 11-10 08:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | SELL | 0.995 | $169.15 |
| 11-03 09:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | SELL | 0.993 | $2.0k |
| 11-03 08:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | BUY | 0.994 | $2.2k |
| 10-26 16:27 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.993 | $169.32 |
| 10-26 16:25 | Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.996 | $169.32 |
| 10-24 07:49 | Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.995 | $2.4k |
| 10-24 07:25 | Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.5k |
| 10-24 07:22 | Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025? | SELL | 0.995 | $2.5k |