PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

olegan

0xde50884ab8fb10ef795a55261e2e62431154d25f

Realised P&L
$-4.2k
Volume
$123.0k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$965.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.7050.780$949.85+$90.89
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6200.310$15.50−$15.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 15:11Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.0201321636$6.61
10-26 15:07Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.16$6.66
10-06 06:52Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?SELL0.61$6.10
07-03 08:35Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.025$250.00
07-03 08:35Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.062$310.00
07-01 15:25Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.031$96.31
06-30 19:27Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.901$901.00
05-11 10:16Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?SELL0.5738923352$244.24
05-11 10:15Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.71$2.1k
04-26 12:34Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsSELL0.55$81.61
04-26 12:02Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.64$93.93
04-25 19:32Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.3399999951$33.61
04-06 10:17Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?BUY0.879$21.98
03-03 17:09Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY0.93$13.56
03-03 17:08Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?SELL0.9553426667$71.65