PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xde4F373EF28c14386A2Aa5496B68984632B7d013-1768147918295

0xde4f373ef28c14386a2aa5496b68984632b7d013

Realised P&L
$-519.07
Volume
$9.0k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$169.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2640.180$95.59$44.40
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0980.059$44.73$30.26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4110.075$23.73$106.27
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1800.041$5.17$17.82
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.3200.002$0.05$9.95
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1650.000$0.00$120.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$50.00
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00$315.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-10 14:10Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.5799999265$2.91
03-10 14:07Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.9199999816$1.99
03-10 14:02Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.3390016581$50.00
03-10 14:02Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.2299999968$50.00
03-04 18:36Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.040999981$2.00
03-02 22:03Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2641439204$20.00
03-02 22:02Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.48$30.00
03-02 22:01Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.1650608447$30.00
03-02 22:00Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.1061301821$81.64
03-02 20:36Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.32$5.00
03-02 20:36Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.32$5.00
03-02 20:36Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.1199999856$7.00
03-02 20:35Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.12$6.00
03-02 20:34Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.4699999982$50.00
03-02 20:32Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.3899999962$40.00