0xde4a338e8de38a7035fe03b8316f35d5b6003d13
0xde4a338e8de38a7035fe03b8316f35d5b6003d13
- Realised P&L
- $-714.62
- Volume
- $28.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,207
- Open portfolio
- $20.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,207
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.74at 0.263Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 24?
- +$70.38at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 3?
- +$63.76at 0.395Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?
- +$59.52at 0.344Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 29?
- +$53.57at 0.282Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 11:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.3790621878 | $20.21 |
| 10-05 01:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.3690814261 | $20.09 |
| 10-04 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.3762671861 | $10.08 |
| 10-04 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.3899999901 | $9.89 |
| 10-04 03:15 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.3383218124 | $10.08 |
| 10-04 00:56 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.3799999969 | $9.89 |
| 10-03 18:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.3499999964 | $9.84 |
| 10-03 11:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.32 | $9.88 |
| 10-03 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.3750326864 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.26 | $20.15 |
| 10-03 07:25 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 06:48 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.2189054711 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.15 |
| 10-03 01:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.2178388964 | $10.08 |
| 10-03 01:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.15 | $10.08 |