PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lqdty

0xde4592c6745201cfe4c3e250c3b54832296a4173

Realised P&L
$-152.14
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
191
Open portfolio
$40.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded191
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 19? · Yes0.1301.000$19.99+$17.39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19? · Yes0.2000.983$13.76+$10.96
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 19? · Yes0.2300.979$6.85+$5.24
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 19? · Yes0.2900.002$0.04−$5.76
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 19? · Yes0.2200.001$0.01−$4.39
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 19? · Yes0.2000.001$0.01−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 23? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$0.95
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on October 18? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$2.40
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 23? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.30
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 28? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 25? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$3.20
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 25? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 22? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$4.60
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 29? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$2.60
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 23? · Yes0.2450.000$0.00−$2.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 23:00Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 19?BUY0.22$4.40
10-18 23:00Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 19?BUY0.13$2.60
10-18 22:00Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 19?BUY0.23$1.61
10-18 17:00Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 19?BUY0.29$5.80
10-18 16:00Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?BUY0.2$2.80
10-18 15:00Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 19?BUY0.29$1.45
10-18 12:30Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 19?BUY0.25$5.00
10-18 10:05Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 19?BUY0.2$2.00
10-18 10:00Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?BUY0.29$5.80
10-18 10:00Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 19?BUY0.101$1.01
10-18 00:10Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 18?BUY0.1185$2.37
10-17 23:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 19?BUY0.11$2.20
10-17 23:00Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 18?BUY0.25$5.00
10-17 22:00Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on October 18?BUY0.12$2.40
10-17 16:00Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 18?BUY0.19$0.95