0xdE458e973e37799752866f34e0B3B05234188597-1768737403799
0xde458e973e37799752866f34e0b3b05234188597
- Realised P&L
- $-11.0k
- Volume
- $562.3k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.085 | $4.4k | +$433.24 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.441 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-01? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? · No | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.318 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$871.52 |
| Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Fight to Go the Distance? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$183.64 |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? · No | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$580.70 |
| Will Hungary win on 2026-03-28? · No | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.7kat 0.133Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$5.1kat 0.374Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$4.0kat 0.417Spread: Japan (-1.5)
- +$3.3kat 0.397Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$2.7kat 0.497New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 03:42 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.4997278763 | $183.64 |
| 08-16 03:34 | UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $188.79 |
| 08-16 01:05 | UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.64 | $120.95 |
| 08-16 00:18 | UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.5868311118 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 23:45 | UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | SELL | 0.999 | $181.82 |
| 08-15 23:14 | UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.5494505495 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 22:42 | UFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |
| 08-15 22:42 | UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims) | SELL | 0.999 | $197.81 |
| 08-15 22:13 | UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.2462892076 | $48.77 |
| 08-11 08:42 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0736450117 | $3.1k |
| 08-11 08:42 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0891599434 | $854.98 |
| 07-26 13:56 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4999055628 | $1000.00 |
| 07-26 12:46 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $1000.00 |
| 07-26 12:42 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2195126931 | $1000.00 |
| 07-19 19:04 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5825 | $2.5k |