0xDe3D528d5327816ACC214B13024EEf4BCC586B1F-1777494829369
0xde3d528d5327816acc214b13024eef4bcc586b1f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $334.8k
- Markets traded
- 554
- Open portfolio
- $305.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded554
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? · Up | 0.344 | 0.525 | $305.32 | +$105.33 |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-30? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.02 |
| Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5) · Real Salt Lake | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spread: Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC (-1.5) · Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.87 |
| Spread: Republic of Ireland (-1.5) · Republic of Ireland | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-05? · Yes | 0.448 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Spread: France (-3.5) · France | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: France (-1.5) · France | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.87 |
| Will Celta Fortuna vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-09-01? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spread: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC (-1.5) · Maccabi Haifa FC | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Spread: US Cremonese (-2.5) · US Cremonese | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.40 |
| Spread: Republic of Ireland (-1.5) · Israel | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.44 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET · Up | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will CD Eldense win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$898.75at 0.156Exact Score: Any Other Score?
- +$577.11at 0.218Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-26?
- +$535.17at 0.072Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5
- +$473.57at 0.219Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
- +$449.37at 0.276Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 20:38 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.0178176145 | $12.40 |
| 09-30 20:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3438958484 | $200.00 |
| 09-29 20:25 | Spread: England (-2.5) | SELL | 0.37 | $228.61 |
| 09-29 19:05 | Spread: England (-2.5) | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $135.93 |
| 09-29 16:31 | BC Dubai vs. Barcelona | BUY | 0.2097902096 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 16:19 | BC Dubai vs. Barcelona | BUY | 0.2799999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 09:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $14.08 |
| 09-29 09:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 09:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 09:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 09:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 18:29 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2399999984 | $23.87 |
| 09-28 18:28 | Spread: France (-3.5) | BUY | 0.035 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 18:28 | Spread: France (-2.5) | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 18:28 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4499999984 | $100.00 |