4Jqt
0xde2f8ec371a2d23e93b652b766ef9c53bf801839
- Realised P&L
- $5.9k
- Volume
- $414.6k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $536.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be greater than $170 on October 11? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $536.00 | −$2.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.940Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)
- +$2.5kat 0.951Spread: France (-4.5)
- +$33.40at 0.940Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
- +$21.29at 0.989US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$19.73at 0.982Spread: Sweden (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 02:56 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $170 on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $538.15 |
| 08-17 04:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $537.65 |
| 07-25 14:48 | Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on July 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $214.78 |
| 07-17 13:44 | Cerundolo vs. Ruud: Match O/U 22.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $27.73 |
| 07-10 15:45 | Spread: Belgium (-2.5) | BUY | 0.987 | $529.91 |
| 06-30 23:10 | Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) | BUY | 0.94 | $9.3k |
| 06-30 20:23 | Spread: France (-4.5) | BUY | 0.95 | $50.0k |
| 06-30 20:17 | Spread: France (-5.5) | BUY | 0.9791057809 | $266.76 |
| 06-30 20:16 | Spread: Sweden (-1.5) | BUY | 0.981 | $1.1k |
| 06-15 04:09 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $516.10 |
| 06-11 10:15 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | BUY | 0.94 | $532.13 |
| 06-06 13:56 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $526.82 |
| 06-03 04:03 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $510.85 |
| 05-19 13:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $510.33 |
| 05-16 15:56 | Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $156.20 |