PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

4Jqt

0xde2f8ec371a2d23e93b652b766ef9c53bf801839

Realised P&L
$5.9k
Volume
$414.6k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$536.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Solana be greater than $170 on October 11? · No0.9990.995$536.00−$2.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 02:56Will the price of Solana be greater than $170 on October 11?BUY0.999$538.15
08-17 04:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 19?BUY0.999$537.65
07-25 14:48Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on July 28?BUY0.999$214.78
07-17 13:44Cerundolo vs. Ruud: Match O/U 22.5BUY0.98$27.73
07-10 15:45Spread: Belgium (-2.5)BUY0.987$529.91
06-30 23:10Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)BUY0.94$9.3k
06-30 20:23Spread: France (-4.5)BUY0.95$50.0k
06-30 20:17Spread: France (-5.5)BUY0.9791057809$266.76
06-30 20:16Spread: Sweden (-1.5)BUY0.981$1.1k
06-15 04:09US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.974$516.10
06-11 10:15Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?BUY0.94$532.13
06-06 13:56US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY0.989$526.82
06-03 04:03US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY0.96$510.85
05-19 13:53Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 21?BUY0.999$510.33
05-16 15:56Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 18?BUY0.999$156.20