PolyBot

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Traders

fakerfan

0xde283aa6410534f9739bf6b0b37cb4c7c74aa563

Realised P&L
$-17.1k
Volume
$156.7k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$386.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.6600.063$242.70−$2.3k
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.3100.315$103.89+$1.65
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.5400.050$40.11−$392.92
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$1.14
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · No0.6550.000$0.00−$8.7k
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.3700.000$0.00−$1.8k
USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch? · No0.5200.000$0.00−$1.7k
USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.0500.000$0.00−$81.66
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.1250.000$0.00−$337.66
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch? · No0.3460.000$0.00−$393.03
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30? · No0.0400.000$0.00−$40.00
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? · No0.4740.000$0.00−$3.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 14:39Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.8533206778$364.10
10-20 14:39Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.0250029256$42.73
10-20 14:38Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.035531548$16.96
10-20 14:37Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.3911892412$590.05
10-20 14:36Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.84$460.36
10-20 14:35Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?SELL0.8105252561$1.5k
04-15 12:57Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.31$102.24
04-15 12:48Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?SELL0.007$7.00
04-14 14:01Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.1299852217$263.87
04-14 14:00Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.1283318694$315.58
04-14 03:43Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.033727921$1.59
04-14 03:42Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.0309759509$60.36
04-13 16:23Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.1$0.44
04-13 15:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?SELL0.32$108.82
04-13 01:22Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?BUY0.4$9.33