PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jht54hy

0xde265fb128e1b892870409b0d5b0a4cf07fb55ea

Realised P&L
$152.19
Volume
$10.6k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$0.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 10? · Yes0.5000.001$0.01−$13.55
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 40°C on May 26? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$23.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 08:25Will the highest temperature in Austin be 94°F or higher on October 7?BUY0.993$6.11
09-29 12:25Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 1?BUY0.991$5.00
09-28 16:11Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 29?BUY0.98$9.09
08-31 15:19Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 1?BUY0.994$5.00
07-06 09:07Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on July 7?BUY0.994$7.79
07-05 02:32Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 6?BUY0.99$13.86
06-23 00:39Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)BUY0.99$12.87
06-20 02:19Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 21?BUY0.9880152866$7.76
06-11 01:11Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5BUY0.9$5.67
06-02 01:21Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on June 2?BUY0.92$5.40
05-19 00:55Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on May 19?BUY0.97$15.81
05-14 00:30Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or below on May 15?BUY0.997$14.96
05-06 05:21Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 7?BUY0.998$24.81
04-21 22:59Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5BUY0.75$16.70
04-10 05:04Bucks vs. 76ersBUY0.92$10.62