0xDE1d7AAB4D26e7F6fa2c9aE0192fc2dEd883eF49-1768041377982
0xde1d7aab4d26e7f6fa2c9ae0192fc2ded883ef49
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $70.3k
- Markets traded
- 475
- Open portfolio
- $7.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded475
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.912 | 0.922 | $5.9k | +$63.28 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.836 | 0.910 | $962.77 | +$78.26 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.833 | 0.825 | $464.63 | −$4.62 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.264 | 0.846 | $3.19 | +$2.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$233.86at 0.978Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$176.15at 0.633Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$131.80at 0.600Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$67.54at 0.775GPT-5.4 released by March 5?
- +$32.16at 0.984US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 15:07 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $54.51 |
| 10-26 15:07 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $28.50 |
| 10-26 14:59 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $222.95 |
| 10-26 14:59 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $53.27 |
| 10-26 14:59 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.2k |
| 10-26 14:59 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 10-22 07:50 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $830.00 |
| 10-22 07:49 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $26.10 |
| 10-22 07:49 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 10-22 07:49 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $336.05 |
| 10-22 07:49 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 10-22 07:48 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 10-22 07:48 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $811.02 |
| 10-22 07:48 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $201.39 |
| 10-02 01:08 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $23.70 |