pachecolindsey
0xde187dd03750b0bf1f6511b7ce08eb9e1387837a
- Realised P&L
- $-19.89
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $29.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 6? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.959 | $18.67 | +$2.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 6? · No | 0.600 | 0.505 | $11.25 | −$2.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.32at 0.489Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
- +$15.96at 0.750Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$11.40at 0.552Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
- +$2.75at 0.731Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$0.34at 0.994Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 10:32 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.5399999992 | $13.75 |
| 01-31 13:52 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? | BUY | 0.99899999 | $12.86 |
| 01-30 16:48 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in January? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.68 |
| 01-30 16:13 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.43 |
| 01-30 14:21 | Will Solana dip to $80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.37 |
| 01-30 14:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9979999949 | $58.31 |
| 12-30 10:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999848 | $12.18 |
| 12-30 09:10 | Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999804 | $29.05 |
| 12-29 21:43 | Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999643 | $15.58 |
| 12-29 21:19 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999823 | $45.21 |
| 10-30 19:53 | Will XRP reach $3.80 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.88 |
| 10-30 18:32 | Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $25.49 |
| 09-29 17:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September? | BUY | 0.9989999813 | $11.77 |
| 09-29 15:15 | Will Tencent have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.02 |
| 09-29 01:11 | Will Meta have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.25 |