jkerkela
0xde18162d38cd41fd8c27872584d9451120427ca8
- Realised P&L
- $-4.26
- Volume
- $397.99
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $108.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.394 | 0.531 | $26.57 | +$6.88 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.900 | $19.80 | +$0.44 |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? · No | 0.530 | 0.645 | $19.35 | +$3.45 |
| Will Trump say "Steel" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.845 | $16.89 | −$0.50 |
| Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.760 | $10.64 | +$0.00 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.520 | $10.40 | −$0.20 |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.030 | $4.58 | −$1.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.08at 0.790US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
- +$-4.18at 0.530US imports Russian diesel by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 23:22 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.53 | $15.90 |
| 10-11 23:22 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $6.00 |
| 10-11 23:22 | Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.76 | $10.64 |
| 10-11 19:20 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | SELL | 0.42 | $15.96 |
| 10-11 15:15 | Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 10-11 15:15 | Will Trump say "Steel" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.39 |
| 10-11 15:15 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $19.36 |
| 10-11 15:15 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.394 | $19.70 |
| 10-11 15:15 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.53 | $20.14 |
| 10-11 15:09 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $6.24 |
| 10-11 15:08 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $6.32 |