sohool
0xde16d10483c48e20d1d15731911495221688033b
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $423.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,068
- Open portfolio
- $52.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,068
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or higher on October 21? · No | 0.975 | 0.740 | $34.95 | −$11.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21? · No | 0.906 | 0.312 | $17.22 | −$32.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$291.01at 0.667Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on October 1?
- +$260.34at 0.776Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 19?
- +$202.30at 0.811Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 27?
- +$193.79at 0.720Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 22?
- +$193.53at 0.784Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 12:00 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-21 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.993 | $14.89 |
| 10-21 06:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or higher on October 21? | BUY | 0.9753667026 | $50.00 |
| 10-21 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21? | BUY | 0.9059122114 | $50.00 |
| 10-21 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.99 | $29.70 |
| 10-21 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.7333641835 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.988948344 | $50.00 |
| 10-21 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.49 |
| 10-21 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.9929999988 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.975 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.9895299714 | $200.00 |
| 10-21 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.988 | $153.13 |
| 10-21 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 10-21 00:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-20 22:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 26°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.79 |