PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nsqdcirt

0xde135269a7590ae51e5a2d29e1340f38e534c2ca

Realised P&L
$23.19
Volume
$17.9k
Markets traded
211
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded211
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 13? · No0.7600.815$486.47+$32.83
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13? · No0.8300.780$154.91−$9.93
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 13? · Yes0.6010.620$130.43+$3.90
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 13? · No0.8300.795$106.00−$4.67
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13? · Yes0.6500.665$97.46+$2.20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 13? · No0.8980.830$78.43−$6.40
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 14? · No0.8800.835$63.65−$3.43
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 13? · Yes0.3600.505$56.62+$16.26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 13? · Yes0.5110.370$49.16−$18.69
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12? · No0.9791.000$48.77+$1.01
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 13? · No0.6600.700$45.87+$2.62
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 12? · Yes0.5580.885$41.85+$15.48
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 14? · Yes0.6200.660$38.92+$2.36
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 13? · No0.7360.560$28.08−$8.81
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on October 12? · No0.6241.000$25.50+$9.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 17:32Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 13?BUY0.48$1.65
10-12 17:15Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 14?SELL0.63$1.54
10-12 16:50Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 14?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-12 16:10Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 13?BUY0.7$1.75
10-12 16:00Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 14?BUY0.78$3.85
10-12 15:49Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 13?BUY0.5799999704$5.49
10-12 15:20Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 14?BUY0.25$2.96
10-12 15:05Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?BUY0.8499999857$5.93
10-12 15:05Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13?BUY0.5946380697$22.18
10-12 15:00Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 12?BUY0.37$3.70
10-12 14:48Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13?BUY0.8739999888$9.66
10-12 14:33Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 14?BUY0.37$6.23
10-12 14:13Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 14?BUY0.58$1.90
10-12 14:00Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?BUY0.4599999884$7.94
10-12 14:00Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETBUY0.7399999988$74.88