nsqdcirt
0xde135269a7590ae51e5a2d29e1340f38e534c2ca
- Realised P&L
- $23.19
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 211
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded211
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$961.42at 0.244Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
- +$56.40at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
- +$53.77at 0.589Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
- +$51.89at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
- +$50.63at 0.603Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 17:32 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.65 |
| 10-12 17:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.63 | $1.54 |
| 10-12 16:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.75 |
| 10-12 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.85 |
| 10-12 15:49 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.5799999704 | $5.49 |
| 10-12 15:20 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.96 |
| 10-12 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.8499999857 | $5.93 |
| 10-12 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.5946380697 | $22.18 |
| 10-12 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 10-12 14:48 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.8739999888 | $9.66 |
| 10-12 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.37 | $6.23 |
| 10-12 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 14? | BUY | 0.58 | $1.90 |
| 10-12 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.4599999884 | $7.94 |
| 10-12 14:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $74.88 |