0xdE1117129EB7788a172aEaD066e2B6b93e74321a-1779203440460
0xde1117129eb7788a172aead066e2b6b93e74321a
- Realised P&L
- $2.02
- Volume
- $969.82
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $43.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No | 0.760 | 0.940 | $23.50 | +$4.50 |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? · No | 0.890 | 0.935 | $13.66 | +$0.66 |
| Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.130 | $3.41 | +$0.41 |
| Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.150 | $3.41 | −$1.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.85at 0.426Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?
- +$4.63at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
- +$4.10at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
- +$4.03at 0.580Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
- +$2.21at 0.820Will "Gachiakuta" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-31 11:58 | Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? | SELL | 0.97 | $10.03 |
| 05-27 07:49 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.57 | $17.45 |
| 05-23 22:08 | Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? | BUY | 0.5799999923 | $6.00 |
| 05-23 12:47 | Will "Gachiakuta" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.30 |
| 05-22 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 20:26 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 20:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | SELL | 0.7 | $7.14 |
| 05-22 20:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 19:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 19:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 19:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.14 |
| 05-21 22:29 | Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.1142857143 | $3.00 |
| 05-21 22:28 | Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.2202255109 | $5.00 |