PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

supermeow

0xde0fa43faad1c0da4881c63681ad07a8c850a4e7

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$497.1k
Markets traded
2,487
Open portfolio
$10.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,487
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m? · Yes0.5240.337$5.40$3.00
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? · No0.9600.955$4.78$0.03
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs · Natus Vincere0.7200.001$0.01$13.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 21? · No0.0100.000$0.00$3.90
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 19? · No0.1700.000$0.00$2.30
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner · Deep Cross Gaming0.0010.000$0.00$5.99
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 18? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$7.07
Will anyone say "Pickle" during Rick and Morty E5 S9? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Down0.3890.000$0.00$19.00
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs RE.Arise - Game 2 Winner · RE.Arise0.7600.000$0.00$99.99
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 18? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$1.01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 14? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$9.94
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 20? · No0.1380.000$0.00$6.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 12:56Dota 2: Two Move vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.999$50.97
09-24 12:52Dota 2: Two Move vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.98$50.00
09-24 12:15Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.7199999873$13.64
09-24 10:27Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?BUY0.5239999788$8.40
09-24 10:23Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?BUY0.96$4.80
09-24 10:10Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.999$101.14
09-24 09:05Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.999$101.42
09-23 18:50Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsSELL0.999$77.84
09-23 17:38Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.999$104.39
09-23 13:06Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageSELL0.999$101.94
09-22 18:59Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Kalmychata - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.999$101.21
09-22 18:51Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Kalmychata - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.969$9.69
09-22 15:55Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.999$102.04
09-22 15:35Dota 2: avice Team vs Daxak Team - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.999$80.61
09-22 15:20Dota 2: avice Team vs Daxak Team - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.96$12.12