PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

sweatm

0xde0d93c1ab63818d7dc6701bd8d70be0850b469a

Realised P&L
$127.80
Volume
$168.4k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$2.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · Yes0.1900.055$2.20$5.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-22 08:18Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.83$2.9k
01-22 03:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7899839765$2.8k
10-13 08:24Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?BUY0.8799999956$8.00
03-24 09:11Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28?BUY0.1699999609$3.00
01-15 02:44Nets vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.613222279$104.50
01-15 02:38Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?SELL0.995$108.18
01-15 02:38Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?BUY0.996$108.29
01-15 02:38Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?SELL0.998$108.28
01-15 02:37Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?BUY0.999$108.40
12-09 07:13Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?BUY0.5$49.00
12-09 06:34Doge ETF approved in 2024?SELL0.977$59.40
12-09 06:34Doge ETF approved in 2024?BUY0.985$59.89