sweatm
0xde0d93c1ab63818d7dc6701bd8d70be0850b469a
- Realised P&L
- $127.80
- Volume
- $168.4k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $2.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.055 | $2.20 | −$5.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$145.00at 0.830Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$49.00at 0.500Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
- +$28.67at 0.790Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$14.65at 0.170Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28?
- +$1.09at 0.880Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-22 08:18 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.83 | $2.9k |
| 01-22 03:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7899839765 | $2.8k |
| 10-13 08:24 | Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September? | BUY | 0.8799999956 | $8.00 |
| 03-24 09:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28? | BUY | 0.1699999609 | $3.00 |
| 01-15 02:44 | Nets vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.613222279 | $104.50 |
| 01-15 02:38 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | SELL | 0.995 | $108.18 |
| 01-15 02:38 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | BUY | 0.996 | $108.29 |
| 01-15 02:38 | Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | SELL | 0.998 | $108.28 |
| 01-15 02:37 | Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | BUY | 0.999 | $108.40 |
| 12-09 07:13 | Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13? | BUY | 0.5 | $49.00 |
| 12-09 06:34 | Doge ETF approved in 2024? | SELL | 0.977 | $59.40 |
| 12-09 06:34 | Doge ETF approved in 2024? | BUY | 0.985 | $59.89 |