sweatm
0xde0d93c1ab63818d7dc6701bd8d70be0850b469a
- Realised P&L
- $302.34
- Volume
- $201.3k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $1.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.040 | $1.60 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$145.00at 0.830Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$121.22at 0.630US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
- +$105.08at 0.740Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
- +$49.00at 0.500Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
- +$28.67at 0.790Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 06:51 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $4.0k |
| 09-07 03:59 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.9k |
| 09-07 03:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | SELL | 0.76 | $3.9k |
| 09-04 07:53 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.9k |
| 09-04 06:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $3.5k |
| 01-22 08:18 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.83 | $2.9k |
| 01-22 03:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7899839765 | $2.8k |
| 10-13 08:24 | Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September? | BUY | 0.8799999956 | $8.00 |
| 03-24 09:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28? | BUY | 0.1699999609 | $3.00 |
| 01-15 02:44 | Nets vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.613222279 | $104.50 |
| 01-15 02:38 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | SELL | 0.995 | $108.18 |
| 01-15 02:38 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | BUY | 0.996 | $108.29 |
| 01-15 02:38 | Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | SELL | 0.998 | $108.28 |
| 01-15 02:37 | Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | BUY | 0.999 | $108.40 |
| 12-09 07:13 | Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13? | BUY | 0.5 | $49.00 |