PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sweatm

0xde0d93c1ab63818d7dc6701bd8d70be0850b469a

Realised P&L
$302.34
Volume
$201.3k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$1.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · Yes0.1900.040$1.60$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 06:51Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?SELL0.76$4.0k
09-07 03:59Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.74$3.9k
09-07 03:45US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?SELL0.76$3.9k
09-04 07:53US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?BUY0.77$3.9k
09-04 06:39US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.65$3.5k
01-22 08:18Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.83$2.9k
01-22 03:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7899839765$2.8k
10-13 08:24Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?BUY0.8799999956$8.00
03-24 09:11Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28?BUY0.1699999609$3.00
01-15 02:44Nets vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.613222279$104.50
01-15 02:38Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?SELL0.995$108.18
01-15 02:38Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?BUY0.996$108.29
01-15 02:38Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?SELL0.998$108.28
01-15 02:37Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?BUY0.999$108.40
12-09 07:13Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?BUY0.5$49.00