PolyBot

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Traders

0xde0d8c842b47f08e99a07b993bf9496ff43676f8

0xde0d8c842b47f08e99a07b993bf9496ff43676f8

Realised P&L
$13.92
Volume
$576.54
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$31.62

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 26? · No0.5250.540$3.08+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 26? · No0.5920.795$2.69+$0.69
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 26? · No0.8150.860$2.11+$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 26? · Yes0.1680.150$1.79−$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 26? · Yes0.1400.225$1.61+$0.61
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 26? · Yes0.2400.365$1.52+$0.52
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 26? · Yes0.3900.540$1.38+$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 26? · No0.7500.895$1.19+$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 26? · No0.7900.895$1.13+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 26? · No0.8700.970$1.11+$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 26? · No0.8700.970$1.11+$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 27? · No0.5300.570$1.08+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 26? · No0.8800.935$1.06+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 26? · No0.9400.997$1.06+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 27? · No0.5500.575$1.05+$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 15:36Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on September 26?SELL0.999$0.89
09-25 15:30Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on September 26?SELL0.998$1.49
09-25 15:11Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 27?BUY0.7$1.00
09-25 15:11Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 27?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-25 15:10Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 26?SELL0.47$1.54
09-25 14:10Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 27?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-25 14:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 26?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-25 14:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 27?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
09-25 14:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 26?SELL0.33$1.00
09-25 13:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 26?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
09-25 12:10Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 26?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-25 12:10Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 27?BUY0.7$1.00
09-25 12:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 26?SELL0.85$1.02
09-25 12:10Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on September 25?SELL0.88$0.60
09-25 11:10Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 26?BUY0.07$0.01