pigu9
0xde098ee7aafcfaae089141a1310db63754503b3d
- Realised P&L
- $-64.60
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $11.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.055 | $11.00 | −$63.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? · No | 0.966 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.33 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · No | 0.929 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.56at 0.848Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?
- +$17.12at 0.720US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
- +$14.66at 0.958EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$12.81at 0.790Ethereum Up or Down on January 4?
- +$7.81at 0.840Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 05:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? | SELL | 0.997 | $46.86 |
| 06-03 03:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? | BUY | 0.977 | $255.97 |
| 04-16 09:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | SELL | 0.926 | $136.50 |
| 04-07 14:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | SELL | 0.953 | $108.91 |
| 03-27 15:13 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? | SELL | 0.993 | $167.88 |
| 03-26 09:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? | BUY | 0.976 | $165.00 |
| 02-27 10:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? | SELL | 0.993 | $168.20 |
| 01-31 16:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | SELL | 0.999 | $143.66 |
| 01-27 06:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.978 | $140.64 |
| 01-27 06:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | SELL | 0.993 | $91.49 |
| 01-20 09:20 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January? | SELL | 0.983 | $49.15 |
| 01-20 09:09 | Will Solana reach $190 in January? | SELL | 0.993 | $39.72 |
| 12-03 06:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9509999894 | $56.39 |
| 12-03 06:03 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.9759999966 | $60.00 |
| 11-08 04:31 | Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November? | BUY | 0.9769999901 | $54.00 |