dxtra
0xde086ee7f38db832cffd0f503a47329222aa22a6
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $46.0k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $948.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.342 | 0.180 | $948.59 | −$853.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$289.07at 0.932Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?
- +$218.47at 0.562Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
- +$136.64at 0.932Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
- +$16.59at 0.534Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?
- +$6.48at 0.520Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-05 19:08 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 11-25 19:33 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.51 | $9.36 |
| 11-25 19:33 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.42 | $279.72 |
| 11-25 19:06 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.45 | $3.15 |
| 11-25 16:24 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.52 | $49.92 |
| 11-25 16:23 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.42 | $49.98 |
| 11-25 08:05 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.47 | $46.06 |
| 11-24 17:42 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 11-24 17:40 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.51 | $49.98 |
| 03-19 12:25 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.006 | $18.75 |
| 03-12 18:35 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.016 | $50.00 |
| 01-06 21:37 | Solana above $215 on January 10? | BUY | 0.6380061033 | $500.00 |
| 12-20 07:11 | Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20? | BUY | 0.2299999992 | $200.00 |
| 12-18 21:37 | Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20? | BUY | 0.22 | $37.00 |
| 12-18 21:15 | Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20? | BUY | 0.6599999996 | $500.00 |