PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dxtra

0xde086ee7f38db832cffd0f503a47329222aa22a6

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$46.0k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$948.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.3420.180$948.59$853.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-05 19:08Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?SELL0.7$35.00
11-25 19:33Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL0.51$9.36
11-25 19:33Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?SELL0.42$279.72
11-25 19:06Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?SELL0.45$3.15
11-25 16:24Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY0.52$49.92
11-25 16:23Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?BUY0.42$49.98
11-25 08:05Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?SELL0.47$46.06
11-24 17:42Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY0.45$22.50
11-24 17:40Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?BUY0.51$49.98
03-19 12:25Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?SELL0.006$18.75
03-12 18:35Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?BUY0.016$50.00
01-06 21:37Solana above $215 on January 10?BUY0.6380061033$500.00
12-20 07:11Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?BUY0.2299999992$200.00
12-18 21:37Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?BUY0.22$37.00
12-18 21:15Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?BUY0.6599999996$500.00