kanade147
0xde04f0c82ee2cc95a08219188cdc691738803af4
- Realised P&L
- $-447.48
- Volume
- $27.2k
- Markets traded
- 349
- Open portfolio
- $73.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded349
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.435 | 0.994 | $24.48 | +$13.77 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.421 | 0.440 | $18.70 | +$0.80 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.772 | 0.660 | $13.29 | −$2.25 |
| Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.595 | $8.61 | +$0.22 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.355 | $6.85 | +$0.48 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.380 | $1.71 | −$0.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.41 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.564 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$5.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$294.30at 0.334Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?
- +$116.69at 0.627Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?
- +$109.79at 0.572Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4?
- +$77.02at 0.396Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
- +$73.96at 0.764Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 18:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.3299999881 | $6.37 |
| 09-26 18:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.3899999862 | $5.65 |
| 09-26 18:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.8299993756 | $1.09 |
| 09-26 18:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.8199999712 | $2.85 |
| 09-26 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.998 | $3.35 |
| 09-26 16:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.45 |
| 09-26 16:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.7799999856 | $6.51 |
| 09-26 16:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.7799999659 | $2.29 |
| 09-26 08:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.4299999865 | $2.86 |
| 09-26 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.36 |
| 09-26 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.18 |
| 09-26 03:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.43 | $0.18 |
| 09-26 03:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.45 | $0.26 |
| 09-26 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.94 |
| 09-26 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.4599999176 | $2.01 |