kanade147
0xde04f0c82ee2cc95a08219188cdc691738803af4
- Realised P&L
- $-80.24
- Volume
- $24.7k
- Markets traded
- 333
- Open portfolio
- $574.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded333
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.557 | 1.000 | $262.22 | +$115.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.362 | 0.415 | $114.01 | +$14.57 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.709 | 0.480 | $113.87 | −$54.34 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.500 | $47.92 | +$30.67 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.355 | 0.365 | $37.52 | +$0.97 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$13.46 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.449 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$38.81 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$305.21at 0.321Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?
- +$123.81at 0.612Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?
- +$78.22at 0.388Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
- +$78.08at 0.751Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 31?
- +$76.56at 0.381Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.7299999976 | $32.79 |
| 08-04 17:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1799999921 | $17.25 |
| 08-04 17:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.7299999962 | $40.31 |
| 08-04 17:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.7099999986 | $83.20 |
| 08-04 16:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5983178776 | $11.91 |
| 08-04 13:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3699999977 | $75.64 |
| 08-04 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.35 |
| 08-04 11:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9699999993 | $14.91 |
| 08-04 11:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3386454183 | $23.80 |
| 08-04 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3555452865 | $36.55 |
| 08-04 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.0510238574 | $3.55 |
| 08-04 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.063337134 | $6.52 |
| 08-04 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.0555944212 | $1.04 |
| 08-04 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.0539999892 | $4.66 |
| 08-04 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.728370872 | $23.07 |