0xddf76284ef884e02e2b67fb4f09568990ac0e492
0xddf76284ef884e02e2b67fb4f09568990ac0e492
- Realised P&L
- $-139.21
- Volume
- $54.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,169
- Open portfolio
- $5.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,169
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.649 | 0.745 | $2.66 | +$0.34 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.740 | 0.905 | $1.44 | +$0.26 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 7? · Up | 0.440 | 0.405 | $1.06 | −$0.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? · Down | 0.335 | 0.002 | $0.05 | −$10.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$584.72at 0.255Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
- +$341.08at 0.301Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
- +$279.25at 0.417Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
- +$238.48at 0.095Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
- +$236.40at 0.102Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 18:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999191 | $1.16 |
| 10-06 18:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999053 | $1.16 |
| 10-06 18:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999053 | $1.16 |
| 10-06 18:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999084 | $1.16 |
| 10-06 18:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999084 | $1.16 |
| 10-06 18:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999084 | $1.16 |
| 10-06 18:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999084 | $1.16 |
| 10-06 18:38 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.7399998735 | $1.17 |
| 10-06 18:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $1.12 |
| 10-06 18:30 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999758 | $1.13 |
| 10-06 18:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999702 | $1.18 |
| 10-06 18:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999702 | $1.18 |
| 10-06 18:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999702 | $1.18 |
| 10-06 18:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999702 | $1.18 |
| 10-06 18:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8399999431 | $1.18 |