polipilot
0xddf5085d0a05c8bd50eb635a7257d68aae98e056
- Realised P&L
- $-13.16
- Volume
- $175.16
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $12.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.575 | 0.265 | $12.53 | −$14.64 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31? · No | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.00 |
| Will Trump say "Heart Attack" in July? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.50at 0.550Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by July 31?
- +$8.20at 0.180Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?