PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xDdF449fC36375Beb7A887B41b54A29817c662680-1768335595795

0xddf449fc36375beb7a887b41b54a29817c662680

Realised P&L
$28.4k
Volume
$1.81M
Markets traded
150
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded150
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16? · Yes0.3890.310$1.2k$303.89
Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.7000.565$242.14$57.86
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions · KT Wiz0.5450.744$136.51+$36.51
Timberwolves vs. Bucks · Bucks0.5700.000$0.00$100.00
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-31? · No0.6400.000$0.00$1.0k
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz · Martin Landaluce0.3350.000$0.00$1.5k
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$1000.00
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · Yes0.7870.000$0.00$25.0k
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$3.5k
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · Alexander Bublik0.5780.000$0.00$921.89
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1420.000$0.00$2.3k
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignon · Raphael Collignon0.4080.000$0.00$5.2k
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-08-02? · No0.5600.000$0.00$100.00
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$250.00
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$3.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 11:56US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio NoguchiBUY0.2799999994$300.00
08-25 11:55Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)BUY0.6299999995$300.00
08-25 11:54Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-27?BUY0.9099999999$1000.00
08-25 11:54Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-25?BUY0.4399999999$1000.00
08-25 11:53Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-26?BUY0.5$1.0k
08-23 00:21Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.4299999998$1000.00
08-23 00:19Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24?BUY0.631389925$2.0k
08-23 00:18Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.7599999999$3.0k
08-15 00:33Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena RybakinaBUY0.7199999999$2.2k
08-15 00:32Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda BencicBUY0.77$5.0k
08-13 00:13Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique RochaBUY0.4095699515$1000.00
08-09 08:35Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.55$100.00
08-09 08:35KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung LionsBUY0.5449999991$100.00
08-09 08:34Will FC Lahti win on 2026-08-09?BUY0.2299999968$50.00
08-09 08:33Hammarby IF vs. BK Hacken: O/U 3.5BUY0.4899999999$300.00