mahimahi
0xddf31df34c0312c42b9befe48ebe00d724af3c57
- Realised P&L
- $125.55
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $154.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.510 | $102.00 | +$64.00 |
| Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.105 | $52.50 | +$20.00 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.204 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.29 |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Khamzat Chimaev | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$123.00 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.40 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.70 |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.70 |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.20 |
| Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$365.60at 0.086Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$222.50at 0.110Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?
- +$207.50at 0.170Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$159.48at 0.278Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$105.64at 0.558Will Biden finish his term?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 14:27 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.217 | $32.55 |
| 06-15 04:25 | Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.71 | $100.11 |
| 02-22 18:58 | Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 02-20 23:44 | Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 01-31 16:34 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.042 | $14.70 |
| 01-28 19:45 | Will Texas Tech win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.15 |
| 01-23 02:25 | Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan | BUY | 0.32 | $32.00 |
| 07-25 03:56 | UFC Fight Night: de Ridder and Evloev | BUY | 0.0230457227 | $10.00 |
| 04-06 05:22 | Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Masters? | BUY | 0.18 | $90.00 |
| 02-08 18:40 | Weili vs. Suarez | BUY | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 02-08 05:34 | Weili vs. Suarez | BUY | 0.47 | $47.00 |
| 11-06 02:30 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2169999971 | $55.00 |
| 11-06 02:29 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.227 | $68.10 |
| 11-06 02:27 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.247 | $98.80 |
| 08-08 19:52 | Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbia | BUY | 0.69 | $55.20 |