ricardolucas
0xddf195cef40e7237238e540e2264943d9ba3a604
- Realised P&L
- $21.2k
- Volume
- $1.89M
- Markets traded
- 1,190
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,190
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5) · RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) · Crystal Palace FC | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Spread: England (-1.5) · England | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.14 |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
| Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5) · RSC Anderlecht | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.99 |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-23? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
| Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-17? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.74 |
| Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5) · Sevilla FC | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: France (-3.5) · France | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.192Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$1.2kat 0.192Spread: Mexico (-2.5)
- +$808.04at 0.295Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-08-08?
- +$612.14at 0.210Spread: Spain (-4.5)
- +$404.90at 0.200Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:50 | Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? | SELL | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 11-01 17:10 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5) | SELL | 0.7707514842 | $102.56 |
| 11-01 17:09 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5) | BUY | 0.363233945 | $12.67 |
| 11-01 16:53 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) | BUY | 0.6101139224 | $142.99 |
| 11-01 14:40 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.28 | $10.70 |
| 11-01 14:39 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.499 | $45.36 |
| 11-01 14:38 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.7172654459 | $220.92 |
| 11-01 14:38 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.78 | $204.36 |
| 11-01 14:36 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.349 | $74.78 |
| 11-01 14:32 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.74 | $165.67 |
| 11-01 14:31 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.67 | $150.00 |
| 10-31 21:49 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-5.5) | SELL | 0.68 | $252.01 |
| 10-31 21:49 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-5.5) | BUY | 0.59 | $88.50 |
| 10-31 21:47 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-5.5) | SELL | 0.91 | $9.55 |
| 10-31 21:30 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-5.5) | BUY | 0.44112832 | $137.85 |