Crackpot1989
0xdde945b12500e510cd909e47b8ab96a296f1ef20
- Realised P&L
- $-102.63
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 602
- Open portfolio
- $145.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded602
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.81at 0.215Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$41.00at 0.180Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
- +$39.89at 0.136Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1 - 1 Leeds United FC?
- +$33.86at 0.644Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
- +$31.14at 0.250Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 16:49 | Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4499999871 | $7.00 |
| 10-08 16:49 | Will Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 16:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.168316828 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 14:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 03:58 | Warriors vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 03:58 | Warriors vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $8.00 |
| 10-07 02:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 16:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 14:49 | Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.619999977 | $7.00 |
| 10-06 14:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 14:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 03:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 03:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 03:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 02:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |