PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Crackpot1989

0xdde945b12500e510cd909e47b8ab96a296f1ef20

Realised P&L
$-102.63
Volume
$20.0k
Markets traded
602
Open portfolio
$145.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded602
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.4240.605$22.81+$6.81
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? · Yes0.4800.525$16.41+$1.41
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.4400.465$12.68+$0.68
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1030.125$12.16+$2.15
Will AEK win on 2026-10-14? · Yes0.3900.375$11.54−$0.46
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.3800.375$9.87−$0.13
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.2300.225$9.78−$0.22
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.3200.305$9.53−$0.47
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.4000.435$8.70+$0.70
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1350.105$7.75−$2.25
Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.4500.445$6.92−$0.08
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2000.225$5.63+$0.63
Will Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? · Yes0.1900.185$4.87−$0.13
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1350.111$4.09−$0.91
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0510.015$1.42−$3.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 16:49Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4499999871$7.00
10-08 16:49Will Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?BUY0.1899999962$5.00
10-08 16:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.168316828$5.00
10-08 14:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.1799999986$5.00
10-08 03:58Warriors vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.5099999516$2.00
10-08 03:58Warriors vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.5199999792$8.00
10-07 02:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETBUY0.4399999754$5.00
10-06 16:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.4099999984$5.00
10-06 14:49Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.619999977$7.00
10-06 14:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.8899999858$5.00
10-06 14:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.9099999991$10.00
10-06 03:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.64$1.00
10-06 03:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-06 03:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.629999995$5.00
10-06 02:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETBUY0.649999974$5.00