Imperial-399
0xdde0004bbca7aca8238a95d3e10ee06dfc867fff
- Realised P&L
- $-62.75
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $31.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.338 | 0.360 | $31.95 | +$1.95 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET · Down | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET · Down | 0.087 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$180.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Up | 0.246 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.72 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET · Up | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET · Up | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET · Up | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET · Up | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.24at 0.218Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
- +$28.08at 0.421Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
- +$19.47at 0.750Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
- +$13.07at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
- +$6.64at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 02:33 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.338067381 | $30.00 |
| 10-07 23:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 23:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $18.32 |
| 10-07 23:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 23:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 23:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2465517241 | $5.72 |
| 06-13 23:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | SELL | 0.194501697 | $6.30 |
| 06-13 23:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999815 | $7.78 |
| 06-13 23:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $40.00 |
| 06-13 23:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $80.62 |
| 06-13 23:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999911 | $20.00 |