ch0a3
0xddd65f426615d6268474e252f6fc5fed0b102c84
- Realised P&L
- $-6.12
- Volume
- $25.56
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $4.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-23.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.955 | 0.983 | $2.57 | +$0.07 |
| Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.950 | $2.16 | +$0.16 |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics · Celtics | 0.712 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 4? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.47at 0.913Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
- +$0.42at 0.700Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$0.06at 0.943Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 13:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 4? | BUY | 0.8799995072 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 13:39 | Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat? | BUY | 0.8799996128 | $2.00 |
| 05-04 13:37 | Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.955 | $2.50 |
| 05-02 16:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? | BUY | 0.9099999963 | $4.98 |
| 05-02 16:06 | NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.7119999692 | $5.00 |
| 04-29 14:43 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 11:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.992 | $1.41 |
| 04-20 14:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 04-20 14:10 | Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | BUY | 0.9429999679 | $1.00 |