PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ch0a3

0xddd65f426615d6268474e252f6fc5fed0b102c84

Realised P&L
$-6.12
Volume
$25.56
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$4.73

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-23.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat? · Yes0.9550.983$2.57+$0.07
Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat? · Yes0.8800.950$2.16+$0.16
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics · Celtics0.7120.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 4? · Yes0.8800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-04 13:49Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 4?BUY0.8799995072$1.00
05-04 13:39Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat?BUY0.8799996128$2.00
05-04 13:37Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?BUY0.955$2.50
05-02 16:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?BUY0.9099999963$4.98
05-02 16:06NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics BUY0.7119999692$5.00
04-29 14:43Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.32$1.00
04-26 11:48Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.992$1.41
04-20 14:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.7$1.00
04-20 14:10Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?BUY0.9429999679$1.00