02155
0xddd426f21633b4ce529b4522172c2c1a491acda9
- Realised P&L
- $-197.03
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Markets traded
- 1,039
- Open portfolio
- $4.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,039
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.724 | $3.62 | −$1.18 |
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.063 | $0.32 | −$2.69 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.745 | 0.052 | $0.26 | −$3.46 |
| Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.257 | $0.26 | −$0.74 |
| Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.115 | $0.12 | −$0.88 |
| Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.065 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
| Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.065 | $0.08 | −$0.92 |
| StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.014 | $0.07 | −$3.63 |
| Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.035 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
| Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.036 | $0.04 | −$0.96 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? · No | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.57at 0.064Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$27.08at 0.830Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?
- +$18.56at 0.716Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?
- +$17.32at 0.937Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- +$10.31at 0.897Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 21:34 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.963 | $513.43 |
| 09-22 01:58 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.957 | $191.40 |
| 09-05 13:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-05 13:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-05 13:47 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.963 | $0.98 |
| 09-05 13:46 | Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $5.15 |
| 09-05 13:46 | Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $4.84 |
| 09-05 13:46 | Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $2.46 |
| 09-05 13:46 | Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.951 | $4.75 |
| 09-05 13:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 13:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-17 13:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.99 |
| 08-03 03:13 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 02:46 | Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.977 | $4.88 |
| 08-03 02:43 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $62.50 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |