0xddd029802aecc236da2a04affa8c37ee2fc1e499
- Realised P&L
- $-1.48
- Volume
- $220.85
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $11.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.300 | 0.615 | $4.10 | +$2.10 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.945 | $2.45 | +$0.45 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? · Up | 0.500 | 0.505 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · No | 0.460 | 0.355 | $1.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.225 | $1.50 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.92at 0.259Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?
- +$3.27at 0.385Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
- +$3.07at 0.402Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$2.59at 0.442Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:41 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 18:35 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 10:30 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 00:52 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 16:28 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 03:37 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 19:31 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 16:39 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 06:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 20:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 10:33 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 23:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-31 23:05 | Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 08-31 23:05 | Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 00:21 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999767 | $1.89 |