PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xddd029802aecc236da2a04affa8c37ee2fc1e499

Realised P&L
$-1.48
Volume
$220.85
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$11.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.3000.615$4.10+$2.10
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · Yes0.7700.945$2.45+$0.45
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? · Up0.5000.505$2.02+$0.02
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · No0.4600.355$1.54$0.46
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes0.3000.225$1.50$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 02:41SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.5$2.00
09-17 18:35Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.299999985$2.00
09-17 10:30Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.4599999034$2.00
09-17 00:52Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.77$2.00
09-15 16:28Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.299999985$2.00
09-12 03:37Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
09-11 19:31Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.25$2.00
09-08 16:39Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.6599998944$2.00
09-08 06:49US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.3299999489$2.00
09-07 20:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5199999792$2.00
09-07 10:33Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.5199999896$2.00
09-03 23:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-31 23:05Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
08-31 23:05Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?BUY0.4$2.00
08-29 00:21Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?BUY0.4899999767$1.89