amom
0xddcfec745472826400ee2ceb26b55e2eaf521ab1
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $226.8k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $548.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.555 | $352.48 | +$9.53 |
| QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.555 | $112.28 | +$15.17 |
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.166 | 0.139 | $83.40 | −$16.43 |
| Will another state be the closest state? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$744.84at 0.989Over $400M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
- +$419.54at 0.210Will Elon tweet 300 or more times?
- +$210.82at 0.258Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$207.40at 0.937Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$175.71at 0.140Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 06:08 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.166385 | $99.83 |
| 09-04 19:06 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5399999998 | $342.95 |
| 09-04 19:06 | Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9790362673 | $340.14 |
| 02-15 14:37 | Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.93 | $10.23 |
| 01-29 14:04 | Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9680882577 | $507.86 |
| 01-29 14:04 | Will Binance launch stock tokens in 2026? | SELL | 0.7900008138 | $271.81 |
| 01-29 14:01 | Will Binance launch stock tokens in 2026? | SELL | 0.80034562 | $472.26 |
| 01-26 12:38 | Will Binance launch stock tokens in 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $161.62 |
| 01-26 11:50 | Will Binance launch stock tokens in 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $768.33 |
| 01-18 14:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 01-16 09:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 01-14 23:38 | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $9.00 |
| 01-14 21:17 | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 01-09 21:03 | Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 01-09 12:22 | Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale? | BUY | 0.42 | $9.24 |