PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

66s

0xddcea3bb4ae8e07db6a998081ebb8ab9bc9e7194

Realised P&L
$-175.02
Volume
$127.0k
Markets traded
426
Open portfolio
$173.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded426
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026? · No0.8460.955$59.12+$6.75
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.8700.956$30.58+$2.74
Will AGF Aarhus finish top 8 in UECL league phase? · No0.8700.972$20.40+$2.13
Will Iberia 1999 finish top 8 in UECL league phase? · No0.8800.964$20.23+$1.75
Scorigami in Week 18 of the 2026-27 NFL season? · No0.8700.705$14.80−$3.46
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026? · No0.8200.650$13.65−$3.57
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? · No0.7500.370$11.10−$11.40
Will OFI finish top 8 in UEL league phase? · Yes0.1100.050$1.49−$1.81
Will Lech Poznan finish top 8 in UEL league phase? · Yes0.0700.029$0.62−$0.85
Will Kyle Monangai finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season? · No0.8900.507$0.51−$0.38
Will Lukas Dostal record 4+ shutouts? · No0.9000.495$0.49−$0.41
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.1500.013$0.34−$3.41
Will it rain in Dallas, TX on September 23? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$0.84
Will it rain in Washington, DC on October 11? · No0.3400.000$0.00−$7.14
Will San Antonio, TX face tornado risk on October 10? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 02:05Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.87$27.84
10-25 02:04Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?BUY0.75$22.50
10-11 01:24Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 11?SELL0.01$0.21
10-11 00:59Will it rain in Washington, DC on October 11?BUY0.34$7.14
09-30 08:22Will Lukas Dostal record 4+ shutouts?SELL0.9$18.00
09-30 08:02Will Sam Montembeault record 4+ shutouts?SELL0.95$19.00
09-30 07:11Will Zach Charbonnet finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?SELL0.92$19.32
09-30 06:44Will Bo Nix have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.89$17.80
09-30 06:43Will Thun finish top 8 in UECL league phase?SELL0.87$18.27
09-30 06:43Will Trabzonspor finish top 8 in UECL league phase?SELL0.85$17.00
09-30 06:35Will Universitatea Craiova finish top 8 in UECL league phase?SELL0.88$18.48
09-26 08:39Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 600k?BUY0.91$18.20
09-22 23:55Will it rain in New York, NY on September 23?SELL0.03$0.39
09-21 22:24Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 17 million views this week?SELL0.955$13.54
09-21 22:23Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?SELL0.941$19.76