66s
0xddcea3bb4ae8e07db6a998081ebb8ab9bc9e7194
- Realised P&L
- $-175.02
- Volume
- $127.0k
- Markets traded
- 426
- Open portfolio
- $173.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded426
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$145.00at 0.150Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
- +$132.77at 0.030Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$98.10at 0.060Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?
- +$59.60at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21?
- +$58.59at 0.805Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 02:05 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.87 | $27.84 |
| 10-25 02:04 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $22.50 |
| 10-11 01:24 | Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 11? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.21 |
| 10-11 00:59 | Will it rain in Washington, DC on October 11? | BUY | 0.34 | $7.14 |
| 09-30 08:22 | Will Lukas Dostal record 4+ shutouts? | SELL | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 09-30 08:02 | Will Sam Montembeault record 4+ shutouts? | SELL | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 09-30 07:11 | Will Zach Charbonnet finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.92 | $19.32 |
| 09-30 06:44 | Will Bo Nix have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 09-30 06:43 | Will Thun finish top 8 in UECL league phase? | SELL | 0.87 | $18.27 |
| 09-30 06:43 | Will Trabzonspor finish top 8 in UECL league phase? | SELL | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 09-30 06:35 | Will Universitatea Craiova finish top 8 in UECL league phase? | SELL | 0.88 | $18.48 |
| 09-26 08:39 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 600k? | BUY | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 09-22 23:55 | Will it rain in New York, NY on September 23? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.39 |
| 09-21 22:24 | Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 17 million views this week? | SELL | 0.955 | $13.54 |
| 09-21 22:23 | Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week? | SELL | 0.941 | $19.76 |