PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

notme2222

0xddc29734d9d1c9ae99db7aa2cf8ae9d4820af6b1

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$24.9k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$107.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1490.276$67.65+$31.12
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 12? · Yes0.1100.045$25.65−$36.86
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0910.021$8.89−$28.76
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0580.025$4.90−$6.70
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0070.001$0.25−$3.25
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0300.003$0.25−$2.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET · Up0.1810.000$0.00−$1.00
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Yangon Galacticos vs Team Spirit (BO7) - Mid Season Cup Playoffs · Yangon Galacticos0.3700.000$0.00−$40.70
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$58.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00−$11.85
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$5.60
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.3970.000$0.00−$53.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Down0.2560.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Down0.3960.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026? · No0.6400.000$0.00−$128.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 10:29Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 12?BUY0.058$1.76
10-12 08:14Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 12?BUY0.101$10.10
09-08 15:09Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.145$29.53
09-01 16:16Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.08$20.00
09-01 15:32Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1669999828$7.00
08-01 03:14Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Yangon Galacticos vs Team Spirit (BO7) - Mid Season Cup PlayoffsBUY0.37$19.24
07-29 16:21Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.259$51.80
07-22 09:34Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.108$17.64
07-20 13:53Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.058$1.16
07-20 13:53Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.03$3.00
07-20 13:52Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.007$3.50
07-19 22:42Will Jude Bellingham win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0080554213$5.00
07-19 04:33Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETBUY0.2399999674$5.00
07-17 02:57Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5783396355$203.42
07-17 02:23Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.565$2.84