notme2222
0xddc29734d9d1c9ae99db7aa2cf8ae9d4820af6b1
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $24.9k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $107.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$306.83at 0.350Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
- +$258.24at 0.184Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
- +$242.96at 0.318Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
- +$128.00at 0.360Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
- +$95.02at 0.610Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 10:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 12? | BUY | 0.058 | $1.76 |
| 10-12 08:14 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 12? | BUY | 0.101 | $10.10 |
| 09-08 15:09 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.145 | $29.53 |
| 09-01 16:16 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.00 |
| 09-01 15:32 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1669999828 | $7.00 |
| 08-01 03:14 | Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Yangon Galacticos vs Team Spirit (BO7) - Mid Season Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.37 | $19.24 |
| 07-29 16:21 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.259 | $51.80 |
| 07-22 09:34 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.108 | $17.64 |
| 07-20 13:53 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.058 | $1.16 |
| 07-20 13:53 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 07-20 13:52 | Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.50 |
| 07-19 22:42 | Will Jude Bellingham win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0080554213 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 04:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 02:57 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5783396355 | $203.42 |
| 07-17 02:23 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.565 | $2.84 |