PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xddc0fd03bf76074c64d0d486af84d4030858669e

Realised P&L
$-208.21
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$10.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.3550.055$6.04$32.96
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1100.004$2.45$64.96
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1800.029$2.06$10.94
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$2.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$15.48
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-19 00:53Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.0712523612$15.48
03-18 06:19Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.11$47.41
03-18 06:12Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.1099999956$20.00
03-15 17:53Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?BUY0.339999993$30.00
03-15 16:16Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
03-15 16:14Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.005$2.00
03-14 09:32Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?BUY0.3475100737$41.87
03-14 09:28Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?BUY0.3550302554$39.00
01-17 03:24Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.1799999892$13.00