0xddc0fd03bf76074c64d0d486af84d4030858669e
- Realised P&L
- $-208.21
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $10.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.355 | 0.055 | $6.04 | −$32.96 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.004 | $2.45 | −$64.96 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.029 | $2.06 | −$10.94 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.48 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-71.87at 0.344Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-19 00:53 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.0712523612 | $15.48 |
| 03-18 06:19 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $47.41 |
| 03-18 06:12 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999956 | $20.00 |
| 03-15 17:53 | Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | BUY | 0.339999993 | $30.00 |
| 03-15 16:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 16:14 | Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.00 |
| 03-14 09:32 | Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | BUY | 0.3475100737 | $41.87 |
| 03-14 09:28 | Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.3550302554 | $39.00 |
| 01-17 03:24 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999892 | $13.00 |