PapaTrench
0xddba38bd99cefc2b9f862a673ed187e25fdde638
- Realised P&L
- $-7.4k
- Volume
- $233.8k
- Markets traded
- 11,675
- Open portfolio
- $48.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11,675
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.48at 0.071Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 1?
- +$67.33at 0.482Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 15?
- +$67.06at 0.080Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 5?
- +$57.40at 0.021Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 28?
- +$55.83at 0.115Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.28 |
| 09-17 23:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.73 |
| 09-17 23:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.45 |
| 09-17 23:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.39 |
| 09-17 23:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.90 |
| 09-17 23:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.64 |
| 09-17 23:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.45 |
| 09-17 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 09-17 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or below on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-17 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.88 |
| 09-17 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.28 |
| 09-17 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 09-17 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.77 | $4.62 |
| 09-17 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-17 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.99 |