PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

PapaTrench

0xddba38bd99cefc2b9f862a673ed187e25fdde638

Realised P&L
$-7.8k
Volume
$63.4k
Markets traded
2,126
Open portfolio
$3.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,126
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 10:25Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 5?BUY0.66$3.30
08-03 10:25Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5?BUY0.71$3.55
08-03 10:25Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 5?BUY0.989$4.95
08-03 10:25Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 5?BUY0.999$5.00
08-03 10:25Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 5?BUY0.84$4.20
08-03 10:25Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 5?BUY0.99$4.95
08-03 10:25Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 5?BUY0.83$4.15
08-03 10:25Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C or higher on August 5?BUY0.998$4.99
08-03 10:25Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 5?BUY0.929999998$4.70
08-03 10:21Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on August 3?BUY0.06$0.48
08-03 10:21Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 3?BUY0.997$2.40
08-03 10:21Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on August 3?BUY0.9201063713$7.44
08-03 10:14Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 3?BUY0.998$3.52
08-03 10:14Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on August 3?BUY0.9$2.68
08-03 10:13Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 5?BUY0.999$5.00
Trader PapaTrench · PolyBot