RollAwayTheDew
0xddb993dbaee76440dbb42408a1925e38b7aaedcd
- Realised P&L
- $-12.3k
- Volume
- $404.1k
- Markets traded
- 320
- Open portfolio
- $11.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded320
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn vs. Georgia · Georgia | 0.906 | 0.915 | $4.3k | +$44.07 |
| Kentucky vs. Oklahoma · Oklahoma | 0.658 | 0.685 | $2.5k | +$98.50 |
| Cardinals vs. Rams · Rams | 0.850 | 0.875 | $2.3k | +$65.32 |
| Steelers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 32.5 · Over | 0.710 | 0.695 | $437.85 | −$9.45 |
| Teoscar Hernández: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.820 | 0.455 | $422.60 | −$339.01 |
| Bulls vs. Bucks · Bulls | 0.610 | 1.000 | $315.36 | +$122.90 |
| Fight to Go the Distance? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.360 | $261.00 | +$36.25 |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers · Clippers | 0.380 | 0.185 | $248.93 | −$262.38 |
| Andy Pages: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.840 | 0.505 | $239.88 | −$159.13 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) · Pelicans | 0.540 | 1.000 | $193.31 | +$88.87 |
| Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 44.5 · Under | 0.540 | 0.570 | $178.77 | +$9.41 |
| Maia: Matej Dodig vs Lukas Neumayer · Matej Dodig | 0.630 | 0.665 | $101.89 | +$5.36 |
| Catania: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Felix Gill · Felix Gill | 0.660 | 0.665 | $96.82 | +$0.73 |
| Steelers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 40.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.545 | $73.88 | +$7.46 |
| Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston · Sam Houston | 0.450 | 0.071 | $60.06 | −$317.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.3kat 0.472Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
- +$5.2kat 0.657Utah Tech vs. Portland State
- +$3.5kat 0.491Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)
- +$2.8kat 0.590Lions vs. Panthers
- +$2.7kat 0.482Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 01:02 | Nuggets vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.3799999999 | $511.31 |
| 10-14 23:46 | Spread: Spurs (-12.5) | BUY | 0.45 | $15.30 |
| 10-14 23:46 | Spread: Spurs (-12.5) | BUY | 0.45 | $956.64 |
| 10-14 23:46 | Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | BUY | 0.4699999995 | $234.84 |
| 10-14 23:46 | Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $2.2k |
| 10-14 23:32 | Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $104.44 |
| 10-14 23:32 | Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) | BUY | 0.4499999998 | $894.61 |
| 10-14 23:04 | Heat vs. Magic | BUY | 0.4 | $10.80 |
| 10-14 22:51 | Spread: Spurs (-10.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $614.64 |
| 10-14 22:39 | Spread: Spurs (-13.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $47.00 |
| 10-14 22:31 | Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $30.96 |
| 10-14 22:21 | Catania: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Felix Gill | BUY | 0.66 | $96.10 |
| 10-14 22:21 | Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $28.80 |
| 10-14 22:21 | Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $28.80 |
| 10-14 22:21 | Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $28.80 |