jackmiss
0xddb97d5bb90f599c42e7133e00345acdda00887d
- Realised P&L
- $14.87
- Volume
- $72.4k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $110.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in September? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $33.00 | +$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.580 | $23.20 | +$12.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $22.00 | +$0.04 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.615 | $12.30 | −$2.30 |
| Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? · $3,000 | 0.890 | 0.700 | $9.10 | −$2.47 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.300 | $7.50 | −$4.00 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.651 | 0.145 | $3.04 | −$10.63 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.94at 0.170Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
- +$8.21at 0.672Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.64at 0.590Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
- +$5.90at 0.410Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
- +$2.40at 0.840Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 09:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.96 |
| 09-27 09:43 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.97 |
| 09-27 09:42 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.46 | $11.50 |
| 09-27 09:42 | Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | BUY | 0.89 | $11.57 |
| 09-27 09:41 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 06-04 17:18 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $102.69 |
| 06-04 17:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 06-04 17:17 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.926 | $12.89 |
| 05-06 06:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.93 |
| 05-06 06:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $54.84 |
| 05-06 06:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.996 | $110.56 |
| 04-17 16:11 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $14.89 |
| 04-17 16:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.93 |
| 04-17 16:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.95 |
| 04-17 15:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $32.26 |