CN-FAKER-T1
0xddb3a90ae5881ce63d41a28f48a25d73e2fe76d9
- Realised P&L
- $793.40
- Volume
- $42.8k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.829 | 0.780 | $2.4k | −$150.51 |
| Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.858 | 0.973 | $1.1k | +$133.09 |
| Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.796 | 0.986 | $91.15 | +$17.56 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? · Down | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.80 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on July 9? · Down | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$383.95at 0.968GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$174.99at 0.922Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026?
- +$145.45at 0.980GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$17.74at 0.996Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
- +$12.14at 0.998Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 17:38 | Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.954 | $186.50 |
| 09-14 17:37 | Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9395332694 | $186.10 |
| 09-12 15:44 | Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8993684211 | $170.88 |
| 07-30 14:24 | GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.975 | $437.07 |
| 07-25 15:03 | GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.966 | $848.31 |
| 07-24 09:56 | GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.966 | $12.56 |
| 07-24 09:55 | GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.966 | $927.36 |
| 07-23 04:33 | GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.966 | $347.76 |
| 07-23 04:25 | GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.966 | $1.0k |
| 07-19 18:16 | Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $22.52 |
| 07-13 04:31 | Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $16.86 |
| 07-12 23:49 | Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7956816953 | $73.59 |
| 07-11 14:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BUY | 0.028 | $2.80 |
| 07-10 21:25 | Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.581 | $2.90 |
| 07-10 21:24 | Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.593 | $8.89 |