0x22d479bf00cf48acfeb61c174fdae8d4e530b4
0xddb1ecc4ddf67d6732630d5eea099f9ffa53ea72
- Realised P&L
- $-13.3k
- Volume
- $593.3k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.2kat 0.626Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
- +$4.2kat 0.836Will Putin visit China by May 31?
- +$3.2kat 0.981Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
- +$2.1kat 0.699Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$1.9kat 0.911Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 08:41 | Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? | BUY | 0.079 | $0.47 |
| 10-28 09:42 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $320.00 |
| 10-28 09:40 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $8.40 |
| 10-26 08:02 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 04:53 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.996 | $2.26 |
| 10-23 14:22 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $57.07 |
| 10-23 14:22 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 10-23 14:22 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $86.42 |
| 10-23 14:21 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $19.87 |
| 10-23 14:21 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $63.58 |
| 10-23 12:01 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $342.24 |
| 10-23 11:37 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $222.23 |
| 10-23 11:36 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 10-23 11:35 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $49.41 |
| 10-23 11:35 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $0.18 |