mhjglf
0xddb1ab27bde5f2ebfa77f0ea585d282f9adb8284
- Realised P&L
- $2.91
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $91.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.695 | $91.91 | −$16.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.42at 0.972Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?
- +$0.53at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on March 8?
- +$0.11at 0.997Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 2-8?
- +$0.11at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?
- +$0.11at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-10 07:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $108.34 |
| 03-09 03:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $108.24 |
| 03-08 01:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 2-8? | BUY | 0.9969999925 | $108.14 |
| 03-07 07:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $108.05 |
| 03-06 00:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on March 8? | BUY | 0.994 | $8.21 |
| 03-06 00:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on March 8? | BUY | 0.993 | $99.30 |
| 03-05 13:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $107.42 |
| 03-05 11:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $107.32 |
| 03-05 02:28 | Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9701431091 | $67.93 |
| 03-04 03:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March? | BUY | 0.9719999998 | $105.91 |
| 03-01 14:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1? | BUY | 0.9979999914 | $105.81 |
| 02-26 01:59 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February? | BUY | 0.999 | $105.70 |
| 02-25 10:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $105.60 |