Jumpy-Logistics
0xddae04b3fcbddd755757bbfd98d66e5e26fc5d62
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $85.0k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $102.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.447 | 0.455 | $102.46 | +$1.78 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? · Yes | 0.737 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$362.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$678.92at 0.358Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
- +$530.74at 0.404Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
- +$420.05at 0.700Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
- +$383.19at 0.401Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
- +$330.61at 0.663Will Russia capture Uspenivka by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 20:50 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4470833886 | $100.68 |
| 07-30 20:50 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $98.45 |
| 07-30 20:50 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | SELL | 0.026 | $1.94 |
| 07-22 21:25 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3402809702 | $134.00 |
| 06-25 19:49 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.589999996 | $44.00 |
| 06-25 19:48 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | SELL | 0.1192430503 | $44.10 |
| 06-13 01:57 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | BUY | 0.4110249554 | $152.00 |
| 03-29 02:27 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.016 | $5.70 |
| 03-23 12:30 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? | BUY | 0.7365994369 | $362.41 |
| 02-26 18:51 | Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31? | BUY | 0.8293929502 | $300.58 |
| 02-26 18:51 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31? | SELL | 0.9822894444 | $300.58 |
| 02-14 23:21 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $69.23 |
| 02-14 23:21 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28? | SELL | 0.18 | $69.23 |
| 02-14 23:20 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $44.79 |
| 02-14 23:07 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28? | SELL | 0.2 | $44.79 |