0xDDA944Ef0465CAbd83A3f4e7924f4C83Eb9D35C9-1762264321212
0xdda944ef0465cabd83a3f4e7924f4c83eb9d35c9
- Realised P&L
- $26.44
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $258.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 1? · No | 0.994 | 0.999 | $258.05 | +$1.05 |
| Will Trump say "Hat" or "MAGA" during the Black History Month reception? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.49 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET · Down | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.45 |
| Will Walmart say "Competition" during earnings call? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19? · No | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.92 |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during the Black History Month reception? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Walmart say "Dividend" during earnings call? · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.49at 0.680Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 29?
- +$25.86at 0.725Will Trump say "Dead Country" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?
- +$24.63at 0.800Will Trump say "NATO" during Hungary PM events on November 7?
- +$24.09at 0.763Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 15?
- +$22.00at 0.820Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.9944362799 | $257.00 |
| 11-01 13:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9957918209 | $256.84 |
| 11-01 13:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $256.90 |
| 11-01 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9968707054 | $256.36 |
| 10-31 18:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.9960235062 | $255.00 |
| 10-29 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.99 |
| 10-29 09:27 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.9926742172 | $228.76 |
| 10-29 09:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.00 |
| 10-29 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $253.77 |
| 10-29 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.995 | $252.75 |
| 10-29 07:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $252.75 |
| 10-28 12:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.9854296177 | $249.32 |
| 10-28 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 28? | SELL | 0.9013225002 | $249.32 |
| 10-28 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.979 | $270.82 |
| 10-28 09:18 | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.999 | $270.82 |